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	<title>Market By Numbers &#187; Eric Ries</title>
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	<link>http://market-by-numbers.com</link>
	<description>High-Tech Marketing and Customer Development</description>
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		<title>Crossing the Lean Startup Chasm</title>
		<link>http://market-by-numbers.com/2011/09/crossing-the-lean-startup-chasm/</link>
		<comments>http://market-by-numbers.com/2011/09/crossing-the-lean-startup-chasm/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 13 Sep 2011 04:12:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>brantcooper</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Customer Development]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lean Startup]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Startups]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Entrepreneur's Guide to Customer Development]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Eric Ries]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://market-by-numbers.com/?p=2155</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[As an early believer in Lean Startup movement, I can perhaps be excused for my unbridled enthusiasm for the release of Eric Ries’ new book, The Lean Startup: How Today&#8217;s Entrepreneurs Use Continuous Innovation to Create Radically Successful Businesses. Not however, for the reasons you might expect. In fact, some early adopters of Lean Startups [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>As an early believer in Lean Startup movement, I can perhaps be excused for my unbridled enthusiasm for the release of Eric Ries’ new book, <a href="http://www.amazon.com/Lean-Startup-Entrepreneurs-Continuous-Innovation/dp/0307887898/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&amp;qid=1315883243&amp;sr=8-1" target="_blank">The Lean Startup: How Today&#8217;s Entrepreneurs Use Continuous Innovation to Create Radically Successful Businesses.</a> Not however, for the reasons you might expect.</p>
<p>In fact, some early adopters of Lean Startups &#8212; those who have already bought into the framework to the extent that they’ve applied its practices into their high tech startup &#8212; might be a tad disappointed.  They might have to look a little deeper; there&#8217;s no vanity steps to success herein.</p>
<p>Why? In the end, this book is not written for them. But rather, like any good entrepreneur, Eric is aiming at the Mainstream market.  According to Geoffrey Moore in <span style="text-decoration: underline;"><a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crossing_the_Chasm_(book)">Crossing the Chasm</a></span>, you can’t address the Mainstream market the same way you <em>learned</em> to do in the early adopter market.  (Hence the chasm.)</p>
<p><em>In my opinion, for example, early smartphone adopters diss’ the iphone, because Apple targeted the Mainstream, not them.</em></p>
<p>Eric’s intentions are easily discerned from his definition of Startup:</p>
<blockquote><p>“A human institution designed to create new products and services under conditions of extreme uncertainty.”</p></blockquote>
<p>This is clearly not intended to speak (only) to high technology startups, but rather to<em> anywhere uncertainty exists</em>. In my opinion, this is the strength of Ries’ book: it is a call to action to anyone inclined to take action to make things better despite facing severe uncertainty.  There is no boundaries to where you can exercise your entrepreneurship.  And though Eric doesn’t state so explicitly, true entrepreneurs are those willing to admit to the uncertainly within the institutions they inhabit AND to develop solutions that solve problems in the face of that uncertainty.</p>
<p>This definition applies to social entrepreneurship, non-profits, education, government, large successful businesses, and any business with technology risk or market risk, including yes, high tech startups.</p>
<p>Think about this for a second.  If true, the problem with the failure to innovate facing many hugely successful businesses is not that they don’t “act like a startup,” but rather that they don’t understand their own uncertainty.  Most people recognize that many governmental institutions face extreme inefficiencies and could benefit from new products and services designed and implemented in new ways.  The roadblock is, perhaps, that in a society overly dependent upon the advice of “experts,” we are unable to admit to the <em>uncertainties </em>we confront and therefore fail to unleash the creativity necessary to build new systems to solve big problems.</p>
<p>Conversely, those who claim to know everything, in other words face no uncertainty, are either not part of a “startup” or simply not truly entrepreneurial.  The arrogance of certainty leads to doing things the way they&#8217;ve always been done.</p>
<p><strong>Make no mistake:  there is much here for high tech startups. </strong>Entrepreneurs who are still figuring out how to apply the principles to their businesses have much to learn here, but Eric describes less <em>how to do it</em> and more <em>how to think about doing it. </em>(Teach a man to fish and all that.) Personally, I have found that there are multiple layers of understanding to be had in the Lean Startup world and most of us are just scratching the surface. While some will look for more specific action items, Ries’ approach is honest, since there is no such thing as a startup blueprint.  While &#8220;Build, Measure, Learn&#8221; is easy to grok, the actual practices one has to put into place to create a learning environment that induces change, that produces products that people care about is hard.  No, It&#8217;s really hard.  And it&#8217;s one thing to do it in a high-tech startup of a couple of people and it&#8217;s another thing entirely do to it in a startup environment of 10 people and it&#8217;s another universe to do it in static, change-averse cultures that are in the most dire need of disruption.</p>
<p>Eric’s &#8220;stuffing the envelope&#8221; analogy, for example, is illuminating and one I hadn’t encountered before.  It turns out that stuffing envelopes one at a time is faster than differentiating the tasks and doing them in batch mode.</p>
<blockquote><p>“What if it turns out that the customer doesn&#8217;t want the product we’re building? Working in small batches ensures that a startup can minimize the expenditure of time, money, and effort that ultimately turns out to be wasted.”</p></blockquote>
<p>When in execution mode &#8212; i.e., when uncertainty has been eliminated &#8212; you can optimize processes for speed or cost.  When in learning mode, however, crippling inefficiencies can occur if you&#8217;ve optimized execution on the wrong parameters and then learn your assumptions were wrong.</p>
<p>Eric offers stories that run against the grain, which lead you to think differently about how to solve problems, such as increasing efficiency through <em>less</em> specialization and the fastidious elimination of metrics that enforce false certainty (vanity metrics).</p>
<p><strong>There&#8217;s more to come</strong>. Eric briefly tackles the quest to bring disruptive innovation to the enterprise. At this point, I’m not sold on the methods prescribed.  Ries says he aims to “protect the parent organization from the startup” thereby turning the conventional model “on its head.” The premise seems to be that senior management “springs innovation” onto existing managers.</p>
<p>I’m not sure this is the case.  I think it more likely that senior managers are more distrustful of low margin, small market experiments run by kooky internal entrepreneurs then they are of managers who continue to execute on current products.  Futhermore, there is no real head flipping here since these are really two sides of the same coin. Maybe big company departments need protection from fast moving startup people, but startups need “protection” from the problem of being measured by the same criteria (e.g. profit margin) as existing product.  Big company R&amp;D centers are rife with products that never see the light of day.</p>
<p>My take is that big companies are going to look more to startups to solve the problem of <a href="http://www.slideshare.net/brantcooper/you-are-not-a-visionary/13" target="_blank">disruptive and even sustaining innovation</a>.  An economy bustling with 1000s of Lean Startups is conducive to enterprises waiting for small entrepreneurs to prove the market before the big guys move in.  It will be interesting to see how this plays out.</p>
<p><strong>The Dark Side</strong> The book is perhaps a bit heavy on the development side of the house, but for anyone envisioning innovation, this is the right place to start.  Eric’s discussion of applying the &#8220;5 Why’s&#8221; is instrumental to understanding the implementation of fail-safe processes.  It would be interesting to see  these principles applied to the dark art of sales and marketing.  Instead of traditional loss reports, what would a no-blame-game 5 Why&#8217;s look like to dissect a failed sale?  Poor Customer Support?</p>
<p>But this only means that new ideas of how to apply Lean Startup principles need to be tested, validated and shared.  When discussing my book, the <a href="http://www.startuplessonslearned.com/2010/07/entrepreneurs-guide-to-customer.html" target="_blank">Enterpreneur’s Guide to Customer Development</a>, with Steve Blank, he remarked how the school of thought he pioneered “is what it preaches.” Eric’s book demonstrates that.  Not only because Customer Development is an important aspect of Lean Startups, but because Eric’s own vision and elucidation of Lean Startups has evolved tremendously from when I first heard him present his ideas in June of 2009 in China.</p>
<p>The Lean Startup movement is a framework entrepreneurs of all stripes can use to innovate in their industries. All those who adapt and practice it – who make it their own – will continue to advance the Lean Startup framework.</p>
<div class="tweetthis" style="text-align:left;"><p> <a target="_blank" class="tt" href="http://twitter.com/home/?status=Crossing+the+Lean+Startup+Chasm+http%3A%2F%2Fmarket-by-numbers.com%2F%3Fp%3D2155" title="Share on Twitter"><img class="nothumb" src="http://market-by-numbers.com/wp-content/plugins/tweet-this/icons/en/twitter/tt-twitter-micro3.png" alt="Post to Twitter" /></a></p></div>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Complementary Iteration Loops: Product and Customer Development</title>
		<link>http://market-by-numbers.com/2010/02/complementary-iteration-loops-product-and-customer-development/</link>
		<comments>http://market-by-numbers.com/2010/02/complementary-iteration-loops-product-and-customer-development/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 03 Feb 2010 20:10:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>brantcooper</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Customer Development]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lean Startup]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sales and Marketing Roadmap]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dave McClure]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Eric Ries]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://market-by-numbers.com/?p=1093</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Because of the overwhelming response and great feedback for the the Customer Development image I recently shared, I decided to share another from our upcoming book. Please let me know what you think. *CPS = Customer-Problem-Solution As shown in Figure 2, customer development and product development are two distinct, but interrelated and iterative processes. As [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Because of the overwhelming response and great feedback for the the <a href="/updated-customer-development-image/" target="_blank">Customer Development image</a> I recently shared, I decided to share another from our upcoming <a href="http://groups.google.com/group/lean-startup-circle/browse_thread/thread/ec0edafec4515090" target="_blank">book</a>.  Please let me know what you think.</p>
<div id="attachment_1108" class="wp-caption alignnone" style="width: 570px"><a href="http://market-by-numbers.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/merged-iteration1.png"><img class="size-full wp-image-1108  " title="merged iteration" src="http://market-by-numbers.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/merged-iteration1.png" alt="Figure 2. Ries' Lean Startup: Customer and product development interrelatedness" width="560" height="431" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Figure 2. My interpretation of Ries&#39; Lean Startup: Customer and product development interrelatedness</p></div>
<p><strong>*CPS = Customer-Problem-Solution</strong></p>
<p>As shown in Figure 2, customer development and product development are two distinct, but interrelated and iterative processes. As <a href="http://www.startuplessonslearned.com/2009/06/pivot-dont-jump-to-new-vision.html" target="_blank">Eric Ries describes</a>, the Customer Development team works on testing the problem-customer-solution assumptions, while the Product Development team tackles the solution.  The product development process receives input from customers indirectly through customer development, and (in the web world) directly through measurement of product usage.  The product development process actively iterates on the product, releasing new or different functionality directly to the customer as quickly as possible.</p>
<p>The customer development process receives input from customers indirectly through product development reports on feature usage, but also directly from customer development processes and analytics.  The customer development process iterates on core business assumptions, product functionality, and acquisition and conversion assumptions, resulting in updated hypotheses, honed messaging, positioning, marketing tactics, and feature requirements.</p>
<p>In the Customer Discovery context, a lean startup is <em>not</em> one that <em>necessarily</em> uses lean manufacturing precepts per se, but rather one that uses fast, iterative development practices in conjunction with customer development methodologies in order to:</p>
<p>1)       Validate core hypotheses (customer-problem-solution),</p>
<p>2)       Produce an MVP,</p>
<p>3)       Achieve Product-Market fit,</p>
<p>4)       Produce a development and marketing roadmap for scaling.</p>
<p>Creating a proper iteration loop requires you to predefine success and failure for each stage, and a means to measure your progress.  For example, in the web-based world, <a href="http://500hats.typepad.com/500blogs/2010/01/startup-metrics-for-pirates-lean-startup-circle-jan-2010.html" target="_blank">Dave McClure’s AARRR metrics</a> (Acquisition, Activation, Retention, Referral, Revenue) might be applied to measure the stages from concept to product-market fit.</p>
<p>(BTW, if you are interested in being notified when the book is published, sign up <a href="http://www.custdev.com/" target="_blank">here</a>.)</p>
<div class="tweetthis" style="text-align:left;"><p> <a target="_blank" class="tt" href="http://twitter.com/home/?status=Complementary+Iteration+Loops%3A+Product+and+Customer+Development+http%3A%2F%2Fmarket-by-numbers.com%2F%3Fp%3D1093" title="Share on Twitter"><img class="nothumb" src="http://market-by-numbers.com/wp-content/plugins/tweet-this/icons/en/twitter/tt-twitter-micro3.png" alt="Post to Twitter" /></a></p></div>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Who owns the vision?</title>
		<link>http://market-by-numbers.com/2009/06/who-owns-the-vision/</link>
		<comments>http://market-by-numbers.com/2009/06/who-owns-the-vision/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 05 Jun 2009 00:37:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>brantcooper</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Customer Development]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Eric Ries]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lean Startup]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Steve Blank]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[vision]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://market-by-numbers.com/?p=459</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I love the work Eric Ries is doing with Lean Startup.  (IMO, coupled with an investment model where funds are predicated on implementation of lean startup principles and achieving specific customer development milestones #leanstartup could revolutionize the start-up and investment landscapes.) Words are powerful and and the intent of catchy phrases can be lost when [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I love the work <a href="http://startuplessonslearned.blogspot.com/" target="_blank">Eric Ries</a> is doing with <a href="http://startuplessonslearned.blogspot.com/search/label/lean%20startup" target="_blank">Lean Startup</a>.  (IMO, coupled with an investment model where funds are predicated on implementation of lean startup principles and achieving specific customer development milestones <a href="http://twitter.com/#search?q=%23leanstartup" target="_blank">#leanstartup</a> could revolutionize the start-up and investment landscapes.)</p>
<p>Words are powerful and and the intent of catchy phrases can be lost when removed from their original context.  I brought this up before a few weeks back, when the &#8220;Fail Fast&#8221; meme was cruising through Twitter and among some cheerleaders, it seems, failing itself had become the best <em>means to success</em>, as if it were the end objective, as if tripping your way to finish line will ensure you are the winner.</p>
<p>So it goes, IMO, with this quote about the customer&#8217;s vision:</p>
<blockquote><p>Early customers are often more visionary than the startup they work with for that product.</p></blockquote>
<p>I&#8217;m not so sure.  <span id="more-459"></span>So while the initial intent of the phrase is not to misplace ownership of the vision, I fear (perhaps unwarrantedly so) that upon oft-repeats or retweets, that the wrong message emerges.  Not to <a href="http://market-by-numbers.com/2009/04/01/mumfords-law-vision-vs-customer/" target="_blank">repeat</a> myself, but one has to treat customer input carefully.</p>
<p>Customers are inherently egocentric and have a limited view.  Their motivation is to solve problems that will increase their market share, increase revenue, or decrease expenses.   They certainly don&#8217;t wish to solve their competitor&#8217;s problems, though you would be happy to solve both.</p>
<p><em>&#8220;Visionary&#8221; customers make up a statistically insignificant portion of your market.</em></p>
<p>Visionary customers likely understand <em>the problem</em> you&#8217;re trying to solve better than you.  They may be working internally to solve the problem.  But the objective of their solution is to solve their internal issues, not achieve <em>your greater market vision.</em> (If they are trying to solve that, they are a competitor, not a customer.)</p>
<p>This is not wordsmithing or semantics, but rather is an important distinction.  The right visionary customers for you are ones who illuminate the path toward achieving <em>your vision.</em></p>
<p>Is <a href="http://www.slideshare.net/seanomalley/patterns-of-startup-success" target="_blank">Google&#8217;s vision better than Yahoo&#8217;s </a>because Google ceded their vision to their customers?</p>
<p>The danger in relying the customer&#8217;s vision is that in truth, the customer is not always right.  Their limited perspective and selfish (rightfully so) objectives means they will, if it is in their best interests, change your product to fit their needs.  If you have several customers doing this, and you opportunistically give each customer what they&#8217;re asking for, you will face an untenable situation that will prevent you from scaling the business.</p>
<h2>Facts Exist Outside the Building, Opinions Reside Within</h2>
<p><em>Your </em>vision.   <em>Your </em>assumptions about your vision.  <em>Test </em>your assumptions.  <em>Validate </em>the vision.  Allow customers to <em>shape</em> your vision.  (This is really tough!  Are speaking with the <em>right</em> customer?)</p>
<p>Non-visionary customers know the features they want.  But customer development <strong>is not</strong> about gathering feature requirements.  So early on, you must be speaking with early adopters or if you can find them, visionary customers.  As Sean O&#8217;Malley <a href="http://omalleyblog.typepad.com/infectious/2009/05/patterns-of-startup-success-vision-matters.html" target="_blank">says</a>,</p>
<blockquote><p>[Vision] should be built by triangulating as many inputs as possible.</p></blockquote>
<p>Here lies the intuitive and creative part of being an entrepreneur.  You are the pied piper, who plays snippets of music you hear customers humming.  You need to select &#8212; all through product development, not just at startup time &#8212; the minimum features required to keep existing customers satisfied and acquire new ones within your defined <a href="http://market-by-numbers.com/2009/02/17/market-segments/" target="_blank">segment</a>, while heading toward fulfilling your vision.</p>
<p>Intuit didn&#8217;t know that printing checks was going to be the &#8220;killer feature&#8221; that would win the day (until they talked to customers), but they did envision that a financial management system that made it easy for home computer users to pay bills could be a big winner.</p>
<p>At <a href="http://steveblank.com/category/supermac/" target="_blank">SuperMac</a>, desktop publishers bought their graphics cards because they solved their application problems.  But <a href="http://www.steveblank.com" target="_blank">Steve Blank</a> had the marketing vision to implement a strategy to target desktop publishers.</p>
<p>Friends &amp; family, employees, partners, customers, investors, analysts &amp; media will all attempt to alter your vision based on their personal experiences and needs.</p>
<p>In The Four Steps to the Epiphany, Steve Blank writes:</p>
<blockquote><p>[Visionary Customers] are a special breed of customers willing to take a risk on your startup&#8217;s product or service because they can actually envision its [your product!] potential to solve a critical and immediate problem]</p></blockquote>
<p>Your product.  Your vision.  The customer is the expert about their problem.  You may need to shape your vision as you learn more about the problem.</p>
<p>You must skate the fine line between holding onto your vision, while receiving input that helps shape the vision and providing the path toward achieving it.</p>
<p>Comments are welcome!</p>
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